Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
30%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
9%
9.0
X/2
17%
4.14
X/X
8%
5.51
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.24
2/X
6%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 57%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
22.12.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
07.11.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
12.08.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-2 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
07.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-2 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
10.02.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-2 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers saw off Newry City AFC 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newry City AFC and 0.67 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Carrick Rangers?

Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 26%, draw 21%, Carrick Rangers 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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