Carrick Rangers 0-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 30% vs market 16.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.9
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.35
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
8%
11.6
X/X
6%
6.18
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
13%
8.37
2/X
10%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +28%
1.51/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.32
-32% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newry City AFC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
07.11.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
12.08.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-2 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
07.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-2 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
10.02.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-2 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
12.11.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 4-1 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
0-1
AWAY Newry City AFC
50% Ball Possession 50%
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC edged past Carrick Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 50% of the ball to Newry City AFC's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.50 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Newry City AFC?

Carrick Rangers 0-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 49%, draw 26%, Newry City AFC 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Carrick Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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