Glentoran FC 0-3 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.8
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
31%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
21.45
X/1
21%
3.59
X/2
6%
18.1
X/X
11%
8.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.25
2/2
6%
12.9
2/X
4%
21.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-11.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.98/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.43
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 6-0 HT 4-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
01.11.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KILK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glentoran FC
0-3
AWAY Loughgall FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC ran out comfortable winners over Glentoran FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Glentoran FC at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Glentoran FC had 52% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 48%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.00 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Loughgall FC?

Glentoran FC 0-3 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 59%, draw 23%, Loughgall FC 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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