Portadown FC 0-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Portadown FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Ballymena United
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Portadown FC vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.12
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
10%
6.01
X/2
14%
5.1
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.28
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portadown FC v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.57/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.27
+14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Portadown FC vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
10.12.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
08.10.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
16.04.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
12.03.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United nicked a narrow win over Portadown FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ballymena United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Portadown FC and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Portadown FC 0-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 39%, draw 24%, Ballymena United 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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