Crusaders FC 2-0 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.27/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.66
+0% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
24.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
25.11.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
18.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC got the better of Cliftonville 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cliftonville at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.83 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Crusaders FC 2-0 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 32%, draw 26%, Cliftonville 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cliftonville), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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