Cliftonville 1-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

Cliftonville
1-0 HT 1-0
Crusaders FC
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.75
No
61%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.72
6+ Goals
7%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 35% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.15
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.79
X/2
11%
6.18
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
21%
4.5
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.7pp
61%
BTTS No
47%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cliftonville v Crusaders FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.57/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.44
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
25.11.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
18.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
22.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville nicked a narrow win over Crusaders FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cliftonville found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cliftonville and 1.17 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC?

Cliftonville 1-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 32%, draw 29%, Crusaders FC 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crusaders FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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