Ballymena United 0-3 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.52
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
13%
4.13
X/2
6%
7.83
X/X
9%
4.74
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
9%
6.11
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.57/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.81
-6% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
10.12.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
08.10.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
16.04.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC swept aside Ballymena United 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballymena United and 0.50 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Ballymena United 0-3 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 50%, draw 27%, Portadown FC 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ballymena United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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