Crusaders FC 1-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.57
X/2
12%
7.09
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.21
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.36
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
25.11.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
18.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
22.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.03.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Cliftonville couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crusaders FC and 2.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Crusaders FC 1-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 42%, draw 28%, Cliftonville 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crusaders FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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