Linfield FC 5-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.58
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
27.0
X/1
17%
3.42
X/2
5%
25.5
X/X
9%
9.43
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
10%
18.9
2/X
5%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-16.8pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.5pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.92/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.16
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
543 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 5-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
23.09.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
11.05.2021 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRK
24.06.2014 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC ran out comfortable winners over Loughgall FC 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Linfield FC and 0.80 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Loughgall FC?

Linfield FC 5-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 59%, draw 20%, Loughgall FC 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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