Coleraine FC 0-2 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.21
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.13
X/2
9%
9.13
X/X
15%
5.6
2/1
5%
21.45
2/2
12%
6.59
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.6pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.98/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.88
+5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KILK
02.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.10.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
18.03.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
19.11.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC saw off Coleraine FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.17 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Glenavon FC?

Coleraine FC 0-2 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 42%, draw 33%, Glenavon FC 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coleraine FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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