Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

Dungannon Swifts
1-0 HT 1-0
Ballymena United
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.24
X/2
11%
8.03
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
11%
23.15
2/2
9%
5.96
2/X
9%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dungannon Swifts v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
2.28/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.56
+36% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
30.09.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.04.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
14.01.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?

Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 49%, draw 26%, Ballymena United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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