Loughgall FC 1-2 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
54%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.87 — our 24% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
17.5
1/2
6%
23.0
1/X
5%
25.0
X/1
7%
22.6
X/2
15%
3.37
X/X
7%
8.48
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
33%
1.42
2/X
9%
25.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
9%
+15.4pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
54%
Away Win
75%
-20.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
0.68/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.65
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +24%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
219 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.10.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 5-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
23.09.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
11.05.2021 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRK
24.06.2014 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loughgall FC
1-2
AWAY Linfield FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC edged past Loughgall FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Loughgall FC had 42% of the ball to Linfield FC's 58%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Loughgall FC and 3.00 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Linfield FC?

Loughgall FC 1-2 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 25%, draw 21%, Linfield FC 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ BTTS No
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