Newry City AFC 1-2 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.59
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.17
2-3 Goals
46%
1.95
4-5 Goals
21%
2.66
6+ Goals
9%
6.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.17 — our 24% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
20.3
1/2
4%
23.45
1/X
4%
28.0
X/1
4%
26.0
X/2
10%
3.33
X/X
14%
9.38
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
46%
1.36
2/X
7%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
7%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
15%
+9.7pp
61%
Away Win
78%
-16.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 84%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.53/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.42
-37% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
15.08.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-3 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
25.03.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.11.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
01.11.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-2 HT 0-2 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
01.10.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-0 HT 4-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newry City AFC
1-2
AWAY Cliftonville
23% Ball Possession 77%
4 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville edged past Newry City AFC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newry City AFC had 23% of the ball to Cliftonville's 77%, shots finished 4-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newry City AFC and 2.50 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Cliftonville?

Newry City AFC 1-2 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 14%, draw 25%, Cliftonville 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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