Carrick Rangers 0-2 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.51
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
16%
5.7
X/X
14%
4.47
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.96
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.25/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.37
-15% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.01.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
22.10.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
03.09.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
0-2
AWAY Glenavon FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC beat Carrick Rangers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Glenavon FC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 40% of the ball to Glenavon FC's 60%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Carrick Rangers 0-2 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 35%, draw 25%, Glenavon FC 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenavon FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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