Dungannon Swifts 2-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 29% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.95
X/1
17%
3.76
X/2
7%
12.05
X/X
14%
6.18
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
9%
9.24
2/X
4%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.33/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.89
+13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-3 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
31.08.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
16.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
26.12.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts edged past Loughgall FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC?

Dungannon Swifts 2-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 52%, draw 26%, Loughgall FC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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