Dungannon Swifts 1-3 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
3.22
6+ Goals
7%
11.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.25
X/1
16%
3.64
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
13%
5.96
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
7%
9.48
2/X
4%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 19%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.65/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.13
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
16.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
26.12.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC beat Dungannon Swifts 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Dungannon Swifts carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.00 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-3 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 58%, draw 23%, Loughgall FC 18%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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