Glenavon FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
7%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.08
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.72
X/2
14%
6.41
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.72
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.61/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.99
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC and Carrick Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.17 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Glenavon FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 43%, draw 25%, Carrick Rangers 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Glenavon FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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