Crusaders FC 1-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

Crusaders FC
1-0 HT 0-0
Ballymena United
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
14.55
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
9%
8.56
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
5%
24.85
2/2
13%
6.79
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 1/X at 14.55 — our 13% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crusaders FC v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.78/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.85
-3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
07.05.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-4 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRK
25.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Crusaders FC 1-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 41%, draw 29%, Ballymena United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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