Linfield FC 1-2 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.82
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.55
X/1
12%
3.64
X/2
8%
12.5
X/X
9%
6.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.45
2/2
8%
9.65
2/X
6%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.78/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.79
-18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
04.05.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
27.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville squeezed past Linfield FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Linfield FC and 0.83 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Linfield FC 1-2 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 53%, draw 23%, Cliftonville 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Linfield FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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