Linfield FC 1-3 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 31% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
19%
4.44
X/2
9%
8.04
X/X
17%
5.07
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
16%
5.73
2/X
4%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
29.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
11.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linfield FC
1-3
AWAY Cliftonville
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville beat Linfield FC 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cliftonville found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Linfield FC had 59% of the ball to Cliftonville's 41%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Linfield FC and 0.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Linfield FC 1-3 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Cup on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 39%, draw 29%, Cliftonville 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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