Carrick Rangers 2-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
19%
4.51
X/2
10%
7.31
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
18%
5.15
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.79
-20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.01.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers got the better of Glenavon FC 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.00 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Carrick Rangers 2-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 42%, draw 24%, Glenavon FC 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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