Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.64
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.81
X/2
8%
5.56
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
3.42
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · X/1 at 5.81 — our 21% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+10.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
38%
-10.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.07/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.79
+55% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Coleraine FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.01.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
03.12.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
01.11.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KILK
02.09.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-5 HT 0-4 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dungannon Swifts at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.83 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 47%, draw 25%, Coleraine FC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
10 Aug 2024
17:00 Ballymena United vs Linfield FC Analysis →
17:00 Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC Analysis →