Loughgall FC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.16
1/2
5%
23.15
1/X
4%
12.55
X/1
15%
6.61
X/2
9%
5.24
X/X
13%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
28.5
2/2
22%
3.0
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.43/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.69
+78% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
26.12.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts saw off Loughgall FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Dungannon Swifts made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.50 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Loughgall FC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 39%, draw 25%, Dungannon Swifts 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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