Crusaders FC 2-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
15%
3.73
X/2 EV+ ✗
11%
11.5
X/X
11%
6.04
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
11%
8.83
2/X
7%
17.25
Value flag · X/2 at 11.5 — our 11% vs market 5.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.31/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.97
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
30.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
08.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.08.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 9-0 HT 5-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.03.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
02.01.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-3 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC edged past Carrick Rangers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.17 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Crusaders FC 2-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 47%, draw 26%, Carrick Rangers 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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