Melbourne City (K) 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 4 Feb 2026

Melbourne City (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅04/02/2026 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
17%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne City (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.87/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.92
+42% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
11.7 Crosses 13.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.7

Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City (K)
4W-0D-1L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
2.33 xG 0.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
428 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.01.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
30.11.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
14.01.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne City (K) 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City (K)
0-1
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.16 xG 0.22
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
495 Passes 154
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
34 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) edged past Melbourne City (K) 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Melbourne City (K) carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 71% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 29%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.16 to 0.22 — on chances, Melbourne City (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 0.40 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Melbourne City (K) 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 62%, draw 21%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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