Melbourne City (K) 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.88/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
+10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +137%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.5 Crosses 15.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.29 xG 0.75
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 Passes 185
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City (K)
2-0
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
3.20 xG 0.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
394 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 4
9 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) saw off W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 59% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 41%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 3.20 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 0.67 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Melbourne City (K) 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 59%, draw 19%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
30 Nov 2024
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