Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 30 Nov 2024

Central Coast Mariners (K)
2-1 HT 0-1
Canberra United (K)
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.90/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.94
+55% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
15.0 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.36 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
332 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 HT 4-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
2-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) edged past Canberra United (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 49% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 51%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 53%, draw 22%, Canberra United (K) 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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