Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.63
No
60%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
62%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
57%
-17.5pp
60%
BTTS No
43%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.44/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.10
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
17.0 Crosses 24.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
4-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.36 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
332 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) ran out comfortable winners over Canberra United (K) 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 54% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 46%, shots finished 16-22, expected goals 2.36 to 1.65.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 62%, draw 19%, Canberra United (K) 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
17 Mar 2024
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