Western United (K) 1-3 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 17 Mar 2024

Western United (K)
1-3 HT 1-2
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Western United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.35
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
23.0 Crosses 11.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Western United (K) 1-3 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
1-3
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.39 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
268 Passes 201
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) got the better of Western United (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Western United (K) carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Western United (K) had 56% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 44%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.39 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Western United (K) 1-3 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 57%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets (K) 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Western United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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