Al Gharraf 0-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.59
Over 2.5
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.0pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 56%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.04/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.87
+18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta squeezed past Al Gharraf 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta?

Al Gharraf 0-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Gharraf 19%, draw 26%, Al Shorta 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
4 Feb 2026
17:30 Diala vs Al Karkh Analysis →