Diala 1-0 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Feb 2026

Diala
1-0 HT 0-0
Al Karkh
📅04/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Diala vs Al Karkh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.5pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diala v Al Karkh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.16/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.08
-2% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Diala vs Al Karkh Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diala
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Karkh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
14.06.2025 Diala Diala 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Karkh Al Karkh IRAK
08.02.2025 Al Karkh Al Karkh 3-1 HT 2-1 Diala Diala IRAK
POST-MATCH Diala vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala squeezed past Al Karkh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Diala found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Diala and 1.50 for Al Karkh.

What was the final score of Diala vs Al Karkh?

Diala 1-0 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diala 37%, draw 24%, Al Karkh 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Karkh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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