Smouha 2-1 Pyramids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyramids EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.98/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.70
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
14.2 Crosses 20.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Pyramids
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.96 xG 1.43
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 Passes 473
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
13.06.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 3-0 HT 2-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
28.06.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 5-2 HT 2-2 Smouha Smouha MSR
24.01.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
19.08.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 5-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
06.05.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
2-1
AWAY Pyramids
0.76 xG 1.68
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
139 Passes 458
60% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Pyramids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha squeezed past Pyramids 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pyramids at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Smouha had 30% of the ball to Pyramids's 70%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pyramids.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Smouha and 3.00 for Pyramids.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Pyramids?

Smouha 2-1 Pyramids in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Pyramids?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Smouha 20%, draw 29%, Pyramids 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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