Hammarby 1-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
14%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 32%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.86/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.43
+8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.16 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
444 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
16.10.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-3 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.04.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
01.11.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-1
AWAY Mjallby
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby and Mjallby shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hammarby had 63% of the ball to Mjallby's 37%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hammarby and 0.50 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Mjallby?

Hammarby 1-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Cup on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 42%, draw 26%, Mjallby 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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