Utsiktens BK 1-3 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 4 Mar 2024

Utsiktens BK
1-3 HT 0-2
IK Brage
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2023/2024

Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
8%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 29% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utsiktens BK v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 45%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.26/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/0.00
-81% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
3W-0D-1L
AWAY IK Brage
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 3-0 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
14.05.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 4-1 HT 2-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
05.09.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
26.06.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage got the better of Utsiktens BK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; IK Brage found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Utsiktens BK and 1.25 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage?

Utsiktens BK 1-3 IK Brage in the Sweden - Cup on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 35%, draw 30%, IK Brage 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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