Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
Crosses 18.6
Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1-3
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.05 xG 1.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
330 Passes 162
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero saw off Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 61% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 39%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.05 to 1.47.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 49%, draw 26%, Oriente Petrolero 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ Over 2.5
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