Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 4 Mar 2024

Universitario de Vinto
2-1 HT 1-1
Independiente Petrolero
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universitario de Vinto v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 23%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.36/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.25
-53% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.9 Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4

Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 170
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
07.09.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 4-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
15.05.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
02.04.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ

Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2-1
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
0.79 xG 0.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
195 Passes 234
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto nicked a narrow win over Independiente Petrolero 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 45% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 55%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.83 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 43%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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