Arda Kardzhali 0-0 OFK Pirin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.97/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.97
+11% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +78%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-1D-0L
AWAY OFK Pirin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 0-2 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
10.04.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 1-1 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0-0
AWAY OFK Pirin
77% Ball Possession 23%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs OFK Pirin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and OFK Pirin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Arda Kardzhali at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 77% of the ball to OFK Pirin's 23%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.50 for OFK Pirin.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs OFK Pirin?

Arda Kardzhali 0-0 OFK Pirin in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs OFK Pirin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 54%, draw 26%, OFK Pirin 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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