Hebar 1918 0-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.1pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 64%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.55/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.02
-28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -26%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.12.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 2-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
03.09.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia edged past Hebar 1918 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 44% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 56%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hebar 1918 and 1.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Levski Sofia?

Hebar 1918 0-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 19%, draw 33%, Levski Sofia 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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