Barito Putera 4-3 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 4 Mar 2024

Barito Putera
4-3 HT 2-1
Bali United
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Barito Putera vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Bali United win — 45% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barito Putera v Bali United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.42/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.35
+28% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Barito Putera vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barito Putera
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bali United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 350
The Meetings
05.02.2023 Bali United Bali United 1-2 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
18.08.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
09.01.2022 Bali United Bali United 3-0 HT 1-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
11.09.2021 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 1-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
06.03.2020 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
27.10.2019 Bali United Bali United 3-2 HT 2-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1

Barito Putera 4-3 Bali United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barito Putera
4-3
AWAY Bali United
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Barito Putera vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barito Putera edged past Bali United 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bali United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Barito Putera had 53% of the ball to Bali United's 47%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barito Putera and 2.17 for Bali United.

What was the final score of Barito Putera vs Bali United?

Barito Putera 4-3 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barito Putera vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barito Putera 35%, draw 21%, Bali United 45%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bali United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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