Persis Solo 1-0 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+10.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persis Solo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 34%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.99/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.51
+35% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persis Solo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY PSM Makassar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
305 Passes 210
29.09.2022 Persis Solo Persis Solo 1-1 HT 1-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persis Solo
1-0
AWAY PSM Makassar
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Persis Solo vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persis Solo squeezed past PSM Makassar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Persis Solo had 39% of the ball to PSM Makassar's 61%, shots finished 2-4.

What was the final score of Persis Solo vs PSM Makassar?

Persis Solo 1-0 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persis Solo vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Persis Solo 34%, draw 25%, PSM Makassar 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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