ABD (K) 3-0 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 4 Mar 2024

ABD (K)
3-0 HT 3-0
Kolombiya (K)
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's – 2024

ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
24%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.18
Over 2.5
66%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.18
2-3 Goals
33%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
3.03
6+ Goals
16%
9.43
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.03 — our 33% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
75%
-19.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
9%
+15.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
42%
-8.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
58%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.2pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v Kolombiya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-95% / -95% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.34 xG 0.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
292 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.10.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) HAZ
27.10.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) HAZ
23.06.2015 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) KDK
28.07.2012 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) OLİ
02.07.2011 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) KDK

ABD (K) 3-0 Kolombiya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
3-0
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
3.35 xG 0.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
199 Passes 256
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) cruised past Kolombiya (K) 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ABD (K) had 45% of the ball to Kolombiya (K)'s 55%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.35 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for ABD (K) and 0.00 for Kolombiya (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

ABD (K) 3-0 Kolombiya (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 56%, draw 20%, Kolombiya (K) 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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