Motagua vs Vida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motagua v Vida — Team-Based Signals
Motagua vs Vida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Vida
HON
3-3
HT 1-2
Motagua
HON
0-1
HT 0-0
Motagua
HON
2-1
HT 1-1
Vida
HON
0-3
HT 0-1
Motagua
HON
2-2
HT 0-0
Vida
HON
Motagua squeezed past Vida 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Motagua and 1.00 for Vida.
What was the final score of Motagua vs Vida?
Motagua 1-0 Vida in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motagua vs Vida?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Motagua 60%, draw 24%, Vida 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.