Olancho 2-1 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Mar 2024

Olancho
2-1 HT 2-0
Marathon
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

Olancho vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olancho v Marathon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.35/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.18
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.5

Olancho vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
25.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-2 HT 0-2 Olancho Olancho HON
29.07.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
02.03.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-2 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
22.01.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-2 Marathon Marathon HON
28.11.2022 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
25.11.2022 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho squeezed past Marathon 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Olancho found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olancho and 0.67 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Marathon?

Olancho 2-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Olancho 33%, draw 27%, Marathon 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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