Manchester City U21 2-0 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.31
No
38%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.1pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +127%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
2-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
1.45 xG 0.35
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
607 Passes 252
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
7 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 saw off Nottingham Forest U21 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester City U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 67% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 33%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.45 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Manchester City U21 2-0 Nottingham Forest U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 46%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest U21 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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