Stoke City U21 1-3 Crystal Palace U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.28
No
43%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
3%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
74%
-17.5pp
43%
BTTS No
26%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.77/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.16
+111% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +93%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 5.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
1-3
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
2.89 xG 3.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 15
338 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 saw off Stoke City U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stoke City U21 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 52% of the ball to Crystal Palace U21's 48%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 2.89 to 3.20.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Stoke City U21 1-3 Crystal Palace U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 43%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace U21 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stoke City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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