04/03/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Al Hudod vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
34%
Draw
25%
31%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hudod v Erbil — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Hudod
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Erbil
EU Bookmakers 45%
-53% /
-53%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-62%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
252 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
367 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Hudod vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Hudod squeezed past Erbil 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Hudod found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Hudod vs Erbil?
Al Hudod 1-0 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hudod vs Erbil?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hudod win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Hudod 35%, draw 34%, Erbil 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hudod) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Hudod)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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