04/03/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Naft Al-Wasat vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
27%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
33%
Draw
32%
30%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Al-Wasat v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft Al-Wasat
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Qasim
EU Bookmakers 37%
-59% /
-59%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-24% /
-24%
0.00/4.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.52
-100%
/
-73%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+62%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
317 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
339 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft Al-Wasat vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naft Al-Wasat and Al-Qasim shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Naft Al-Wasat vs Al-Qasim?
Naft Al-Wasat 1-1 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Al-Wasat vs Al-Qasim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Al-Wasat win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Wasat 36%, draw 33%, Al-Qasim 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft Al-Wasat), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Naft Al-Wasat)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
4 Mar 2024