Managua 2-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
47%
-13.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -2%
1.14/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.42
-11% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
09.11.2023 Managua Managua 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.09.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-2 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
08.05.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-3 HT 1-1 Managua Managua NİK
01.05.2023 Managua Managua 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
14.04.2023 Managua Managua 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
2-2
AWAY Real Esteli
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Managua vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua and Real Esteli shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Managua had 42% of the ball to Real Esteli's 58%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Managua and 1.50 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Managua vs Real Esteli?

Managua 2-2 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Managua 38%, draw 28%, Real Esteli 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
4 Mar 2024
01:00 Walter Ferretti vs Orgánica Masachapa Analysis →