Walter Ferretti 3-1 Orgánica Masachapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.25/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.14
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
522 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
03.09.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
3-1
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Orgánica Masachapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti saw off Orgánica Masachapa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 59% of the ball to Orgánica Masachapa's 41%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Walter Ferretti and 0.50 for Orgánica Masachapa.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Walter Ferretti 3-1 Orgánica Masachapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 54%, draw 24%, Orgánica Masachapa 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Over 2.5
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