Cienciano 2-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-15.5pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.5pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.71/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.67
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
23.2 Crosses 14.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
335 Passes 218
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
09.04.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
03.09.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
16.04.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-2 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
25.09.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-3 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
04.05.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 5-2 HT 3-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
2-2
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
0.36 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
321 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano and Carlos Manucci Trujillo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cienciano at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cienciano had 53% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 47%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.36 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cienciano and 0.83 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Cienciano 2-2 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 58%, draw 24%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cienciano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
4 Mar 2024
22:00 Union Comercio vs UTC Cajamarca Analysis →